Intial post:
i m finding my self losing flips which take me out in latter stages of mtts regularly. is this because i havent done enough work previous to the hands ( ie not big enough stack) or because most mtts arent that deep later on . do you knowledgeable people of risk think thats its possible to regularly get there without taking on flips for your life?this maybe a little result orientated post but i.m tryin to avoid the flips as much as possible thruout my games of late .cheers for any opinions you care to share
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My response
Basically - I think no.
I think if you do win a tournament and have avoided any flips, then you are probably running very well in other areas, which you could say is covered under a general "run good" factor (i.e. there is more to running good than winning flips!! like flopping well, steals & re steals getting through, having position on a fish, etc.).
I think there are times in the tournament where you have to flip due to the situation or you lower your chances significantly to win the tournament.
There is always that balance between estimating when it is best to risk your tournament on a likely flip - against considering your stack size, position in tournament, the payout structure, how tough your table is (etc etc etc!).
I think the key is to review every situation uniquely and make what you believe is the most profitable play in that unique situation....that's what I think gives an edge in the final stages of the tournament to the top players, where flips are most common.
Having a lot of showdowns for only a % of your stack I think is very wise also as you will find yourself in a lot of "+EV" situations without the ICM "-EV" of going out of a tournament, and then you can re-evaluate your position and stacks size, etc. in the tournament post the outcome of the flip.
I think if you do win a tournament and have avoided any flips, then you are probably running very well in other areas, which you could say is covered under a general "run good" factor (i.e. there is more to running good than winning flips!! like flopping well, steals & re steals getting through, having position on a fish, etc.).
I think there are times in the tournament where you have to flip due to the situation or you lower your chances significantly to win the tournament.
There is always that balance between estimating when it is best to risk your tournament on a likely flip - against considering your stack size, position in tournament, the payout structure, how tough your table is (etc etc etc!).
I think the key is to review every situation uniquely and make what you believe is the most profitable play in that unique situation....that's what I think gives an edge in the final stages of the tournament to the top players, where flips are most common.
Having a lot of showdowns for only a % of your stack I think is very wise also as you will find yourself in a lot of "+EV" situations without the ICM "-EV" of going out of a tournament, and then you can re-evaluate your position and stacks size, etc. in the tournament post the outcome of the flip.
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